BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Texas State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Texas State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.91 |
14.93 (-4.98) |
32.27 |
27.41 (-4.86) |
27.41 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
309.64 |
288.91 (-20.73) |
448.73 |
434.72 (-14.01) |
434.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.57 |
4.32 (-0.25) |
6.19 |
5.80 (-0.39) |
5.80 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.73 |
33.84 (+5.11) |
33.82 |
39.12 (+5.30) |
39.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
381.73 |
429.46 (+47.74) |
408.00 |
435.75 (+27.75) |
435.75 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.50 |
6.12 (+0.62) |
6.13 |
6.57 (+0.43) |
6.57 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Baylor |
32.29 |
42.24 |
+9.95 |
74.52 |
34.04% |
W 42-31 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@UT San Antonio |
29.78 |
39.88 |
+10.10 |
69.66 |
33.80% |
L 13-20 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-17 |
Jackson State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 77-34 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Nevada |
36.41 |
20.54 |
-15.87 |
56.95 |
75.46% |
W 35-24 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Southern Mississippi |
41.62 |
32.93 |
-8.70 |
74.55 |
63.95% |
W 50-36 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Louisiana |
35.98 |
41.39 |
+5.41 |
77.36 |
41.32% |
L 30-34 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Louisiana Monroe |
40.92 |
22.08 |
-18.84 |
63.00 |
80.22% |
W 21-20 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Troy |
19.23 |
37.42 |
+18.19 |
56.65 |
20.83% |
L 13-31 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Georgia Southern |
40.37 |
38.31 |
-2.06 |
78.69 |
53.30% |
W 45-24 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Coastal Carolina |
29.77 |
35.33 |
+5.56 |
65.10 |
41.08% |
L 23-31 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Arkansas State |
35.56 |
36.23 |
+0.67 |
71.79 |
48.92% |
L 31-77 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-26 |
South Alabama |
28.09 |
38.75 |
+10.67 |
66.84 |
32.89% |
W 52-44 |
7-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-26 |
@Rice |
33.92 |
40.37 |
+6.46 |
74.29 |
39.65% |
W 45-21 |
8-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.02% |
| 2-11 |
0.27% |
| 3-10 |
1.82% |
| 4-9 |
6.80% |
| 5-8 |
15.15% |
| 6-7 |
22.60% |
| 7-6 |
23.36% |
| 8-5 |
17.32% |
| 9-4 |
8.88% |
| 10-3 |
2.98% |
| 11-2 |
0.72% |
| 12-1 |
0.08% |
| 13-0 |
0.01% |